The BJP is projected to get absolute majority in Delhi and win between 41-45 seats and AAP is likely to secure the second place, according to a survey by Research and Development Initiative (RDI). The survey states that AAP is likely to win between 21-25 seats in the 70-member Delhi Assembly.
NEW DELHI (TIP): The BJP is projected to get absolute majority in Delhi and win between 41-45 seats and AAP is likely to secure the second place, according to a survey by Research and Development Initiative (RDI).
The survey states that AAP is likely to win between 21-25 seats in the 70-member Delhi Assembly.
The vote share projection has given BJP 41 per cent and AAP 36 per cent. Where as, Congress is likely to bag between 0-4 seats with a vote share of 12 per cent, according to the survey in the last week of January.
In the 2013 election, BJP had won 31 seats with a vote share of 33 per cent, while ally SAD had got one seat. AAP had bagged 28 seats with a share of 25 per cent and Congress got 8 seats with a share of 25 per cent votes.
According to the survey, BJP’s Kiran Bedi is the top choice as a chief ministerial candidate with 46 per cent of people favouring her.
The survey projected AAP chief Arvind Kejriwal second in the run with 40 per cent voters supporting
him. Congress’ Ajay Maken managed to secure the third position in the survey with 12 per cent voters in his favour.
The survey was conducted with a sample size of 21,000 registered voters with a representative sample of 300 registered voters from 25 polling booths drawn in each constituency.
Delhi will go to polls on February 7 and the results will be declared on February 10.
What other surveys say?
BJP seems to have gained in four pre-poll surveys with three of them projecting it may touch the majority mark in the 70-member Delhi Assembly.
While the India TV-C-Voter survey gives BJP 37 seats, it projects 28 seats for AAP and 5 for Congress in the polls.
The Week-IMBR survey gives BJP 36 seats and AAP 29 seats while only 4 seats to Congress.
Another pre-poll survey by Data Mineria, telecast by IBN-7, has also given BJP 36 seats and AAP 27 seats, with 7 to Congress.
A Zee-Taleem survey has projected 32 to 36 seats for BJP, 30 to 34 for AAP and 4 for Congress while News Nation channel has given BJP 30-35 seats, AAP 30-34 and Congress 3-5. An internal survey by AAP claimed a clear majority for it giving itself 51 seats followed by 15 to BJP and four seats for Congress.
AAP leader Yogendra Yadav, himself a psephologist, said in the best case scenario AAP may get 57 seats and in the worst it will bag at least 44 seats.
The India Today-Cicero pre-poll survey yesterday projected AAP will get 38-46 seats and BJP will secure 19-25 seats. Congress was placed way behind with only 3-7 seats.
In the ‘Poll of Polls’ by Times Now TV channel based on the results of five polls, AAP gets 34 out of 70 seat while BJP 32 and Congress 4. Yadav termed the survey results of some TV channels as “serious underestimation of the ground reality”.
In the 2013 Assembly election, BJP had won 31 seats, AAP 28 and Congress 8.