Polls Indicate Clinton Leads over Trump in Battleground States

June end polls by Ballotpedia, Quinnipiac University, Fox TV and CNN indicate Clinton is leading over Trump
June end polls by Ballotpedia, Quinnipiac University, Fox TV and CNN indicate Clinton is leading over Trump

NEW YORK (TIP): As of June 30, major polls have indicated Clinton is leading over Trump in battleground States.

According to Ballotpedia’s battleground poll, Clinton leads Trump across the board in battleground states. Ballotpedia finds Clinton leading Trump 51% to 37% in Florida; 45% to 41% in Iowa; 50% to 33% in Michigan; 48% to 38% in North Carolina; 46% to 37% in Ohio; 49% to 35% in Pennsylvania, and 45% to 38% in Virginia.

Each of the seven States surveyed is seen as a swing state where either party is normally seen as relatively competitive in presidential elections, though Michigan has gone Democratic in most recent presidential elections.

Ballotpedia surveyed roughly 600 voters in each of the States between June 10-22 for the poll and each survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Separate polling in three battleground States, conducted by Quinnipiac University, found a much tighter race: Clinton up 8 points in Florida, but only 1 point in Pennsylvania and a tie in Ohio.

A Quinnipiac University national poll released Wednesday, June 29 shows Hillary Clinton leading Trump by just two points, 42%to 40%, a much closer race than other recent surveys have shown. With third-party candidates included, Clinton leads 39% to 37%, with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson at 8% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4%.

This Quinnipiac poll is quite different from other recent surveys on the presidential race, showing a much tighter contest than others. Its field period overlaps with those of the Washington Post/ABC News and NBC News /Wall Street Journal polls released Sunday, June 26, both of which found Clinton significantly ahead of Trump.

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by six points, 44% to 38%, in a Fox News poll of registered voters released Wednesday, June 29, marking an uptick from similar polls released in May and June.

The Fox News results follow a rough patch for the Trump campaign: In May, the presumptive Republican nominee enjoyed a three-point lead in the same survey. But by early June, those numbers had flipped, with Clinton jumping out to a 42% to 39% advantage.

CNN’s Poll of Polls — an average of results for the five most recent publicly released national polls that meet CNN’s standards for publication — has Clinton leading Trump 46% to 40%.

Her lead among women in this latest round –51% to 32% — outpaces Trump’s with men, where his edge has dwindled to 10 points, 46%to 36%.

The state of the race remains essentially unchanged when Libertarian Gary Johnson is thrown into the mix.

Johnson wins 10% of the vote in a three-way competition, taking about equally from Trump and Clinton, whose lead scales down to 41% to 36%.

Despite having seen off his last primary rival nearly eight weeks ago, Trump also lags behind Clinton on the party unity front.

His lead among Republicans is down to 74%from 82% in May. And only 52% of registered GOP voters who had previously supported one of his opponents picked the billionaire businessman over Clinton.

On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders voters appear more willing to shed their primary loyalties and back the party’s likely nominee.

Two-thirds of the Sanders backers surveyed said they would vote for Clinton over Trump. Overall, 83% of Democrats plan to support Clinton in November.


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