NDA Heading for a Landslide Win; Mahagathbandhan Trails Far Behind

• By I.S. Saluja

Updated: November 14, 2025  at 7.30 A.M. ET

PATNA (TIP): With counting under way across Bihar, early trends on Friday, November 14,  placed the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) far ahead of its rivals, positioning the BJP–JD(U)-led coalition for a resounding victory in the 2025 Assembly elections. Celebrations broke out outside the BJP headquarters in Patna as party workers danced to drumbeats, sensing an emphatic mandate returning the alliance to power.

As of this report, the NDA is leading in 204 out of 243 seats, leaving the Mahagathbandhan—an alliance of the RJD and Congress—far behind at 33 seats. The Jan Suraaj Party, despite visible campaign visibility, has yet to secure a lead in any constituency.

Tejashwi Yadav leads ; Raghopur Sees Tight Contest

One of the high-profile battles, Raghopur, saw RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav leading by 10,276 votes, but the broader electoral picture remains grim for the Mahagathbandhan. Constituency-level trends indicate widespread consolidation in favor of NDA candidates.

‘Victory of Good Governance Has Been Achieved’: PM Modi

Reacting to the early numbers, Prime Minister Narendra Modi declared the mandate a “victory of development, victory of social justice,” crediting the alliance’s governance model, welfare outreach, and administrative stability. Nitish Kumar, who campaigned heavily on his welfare schemes for women, elderly, and marginalized communities, appears set to retain the Chief Minister’s position—once again emerging as “the man of the hour.”

Women Voters, Welfare Schemes, and Alliance Management Drive Success

Analysts attribute the NDA’s performance to several converging factors:

Women voters turned out in large numbers, reportedly driven by JD(U)’s welfare measures, including direct benefit transfers, schemes supporting girls’ education, and health-focused initiatives.

The coalition projected a unified front, capitalizing on its governance record and minimizing internal friction.

Union Home Minister Amit Shah is believed to have played a key role in micro-managing the campaign narrative, ensuring the alliance stayed disciplined on core issues.

BJP is likely to surpass its 2010 tally of 91 seats, strengthening its footprint in the State and pushing the Opposition further to the margins.

Opposition Raises Vote-Chori Allegations

With the Mahagathbandhan facing a near-complete rout, Congress and RJD leaders revived accusations of “vote chori” (theft) and questioned the integrity of the State’s intensive electoral roll revision process. However, according to the Election Commission of India (ECI), this is the first election in recent history in which no discrepancies were found at any polling station, and no repolls were recommended.

Smooth Counting Process Across Bihar

Counting is being conducted by 243 Returning Officers, assisted by an equal number of Counting Observers. The ECI has stated that final seat-wise outcomes are likely to be confirmed by evening, depending on the pace of counting.

Exit Polls Prove Wrong

In a dramatic reversal, almost all exit polls—which had predicted a tight finish or a mild NDA edge—stand discredited. The scale of today’s mandate suggests a significant shift in voter sentiment and a reaffirmation of the NDA’s political dominance over Bihar’s electoral landscape.

With numbers stabilizing and the NDA far ahead of the majority mark, it is now only a matter of hours before the final tally confirms the coalition’s return to power.