The Falling Rupee and the Silent Squeeze on India’s Economy

When the currency of a country weakens sharply, it is never a matter of mere numbers flashing on a trading screen. It is a warning signal—of economic stress, policy failure, or declining confidence. In India’s case, the steady and now alarming fall of the rupee should have triggered serious national debate. Instead, it has been met with an unsettling indifference from those in power.

There was a time when a slide of the rupee from around 35 to 40 against the US dollar provoked outrage. The then opposition thundered in Parliament and outside it, declaring the fall a national humiliation and a direct assault on the common citizen. Today, that same political formation presides over an economy where Indians must shell out more than 90 rupees to buy a single US dollar. The question that naturally arises is: what does this steep decline denote, and why is the outrage missing now?

A weakening rupee hurts the Indian economy in multiple and deeply interconnected ways. India is heavily dependent on imports—crude oil, natural gas, fertilizers, electronic components, machinery, and pharmaceuticals. When the rupee falls, every imported commodity becomes costlier. This cost is inevitably passed on to consumers, pushing up prices across the board. Inflation, once unleashed, does not remain confined to fuel or imported goods; it creeps into food prices, transport costs, household essentials, and services, eroding purchasing power and squeezing middle- and lower-income families the hardest.

The timing could not be worse. With the United States playing the tariff card more aggressively, global trade is becoming more expensive and uncertain. A weaker rupee in such an environment amplifies the pain. Indian consumers pay more, Indian businesses face higher input costs, and the government’s subsidy burden increases. Servicing external debt becomes costlier, and fiscal pressures mount. To argue that a falling rupee automatically boosts exports is a dangerously simplistic narrative, especially when global demand itself is fragile and supply chains are under strain.

What is most troubling is the apparent lack of urgency in addressing the issue. Parliament finds ample time for debates that may stir emotions but have little bearing on the daily struggles of citizens. Meanwhile, the tormenting fall of the rupee—and its cascading consequences—is neither discussed with seriousness nor addressed with transparent policy measures. Blame games replace accountability, and slogans substitute for strategy.

If the rupee does not recover, the long-term consequences could be severe. Persistent inflation can dampen consumption, slow growth, discourage investment, and widen inequality. The credibility of economic management suffers, both domestically and internationally. Confidence, once lost, is hard to rebuild.

The value of a currency ultimately reflects the health of an economy and the trust reposed in its governance. Ignoring the rupee’s fall is not an option. The government must acknowledge the problem, communicate honestly with the nation, and act decisively. Economic realities cannot be wished away by rhetoric. The rupee’s decline is not an abstract statistic—it is a silent tax on every Indian.

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