India is targeted to become the third global economy behind the USA and China in the next 3 to 5 years. India could easily become the second economy within ten years. INDIA IS THE YOUNGEST IN THE WORLD
50% of India’s 1.5 billion is under age 25. 65% are under 35. Compare this with shortage of babies in China, USA, and Western Europe.
India graduates 1.5 million engineers yearly against 200,000 in the USA. Currently, many educated Indians are underemployed and unemployed. Most enterprising and well to do Indians go abroad.
India also graduates a large number of management professionals. I cannot believe the present Dean of Harvard School of Business has degree from the Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad and no foreign degree. What does this tell you?
Technological revolution has been creating many opportunities for educated and qualified professionals to seek opportunities. As most of the work is done or processed thru computers there is no requirement that professionals attend office or should be in a particular location. This is going to create huge opportunities for the educated unemployed in India. Why do you think Google, Microsoft, Amazon and Matta have decided to invest $100 billion dollars combined for AI storage in India?
I anticipate India will become the world’s headquarters for delivering products, processes and services based on high technology. IMPACT OF 40 MILLION INDIAN DIASPORA ON INDIAN ECONOMY
India has been leading in foreign remittances. This is helping India’s foreign exchange position. I expect more and more Indians will be immigrating to Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Ireland, Germany, U.K., U.S.A., Russia, China, Japan, Middle Eastern Arab countries, and others.
Guyana has a sizeable Indian population. After it struck oil, it has started attracting foreign manpower. Guyana is a great opportunity for Indians to invest and settle down. Guyana pretty soon will be a rich country because of oil.
Indians should be learning foreign languages such as Chinese, Japanese, Spanish, Korean, Russian, German, French so that it will be easier for them to seek immigration. FRIENDLY RELATIONS WITH INDIA’S NEIGHBORS
It is important India creates most friendly relations with all its neighbors: Nepal, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Maldives.
As we embark on the 77th Republic Day of India I am most optimistic about India’s future. I am convinced developed populations are a great asset.
Ven Parameswaran, a former Indian diplomat and CEO, First Asian Securities Corporation, NYC came to the USA in 1954 on Mrs.Vijayalakshmi Pandit Scholarship. He is a graduate of Columbia U Business School.
“Many scientists in the USA, UK, Western Europe, India and other parts of the world have been unanimous in speculating that the Covid-19 virus originated in Wuhan lab. Let us hope that President Biden is able to discover the findings of his investigation within 90 days as he stipulated. Once there is a conclusion that the virus was created in a lab in Wuhan, we should prepare an estimate of all damages inflicted on the humanity of the world and the world economy, analyzing country by country. If so, China must be fully held responsible, and it must pay reparations.”
It is a matter of commonsense that though the virus originated in Wuhan, it did not spread much in China. Instead, the virus spread across the world like fire. China should have on its own forbidden anyone from Wuhan to travel abroad. Apparently, China was able to contain the virus in Wuhan within China.
China had a total of 91,316 cases and 4636 deaths. Huber province where Wuhan is located had 68,159 cases and 4512 deaths. The rest of the entire China had only 29 deaths. Does this not reveal that China knew the origin and nature of the virus, and how to protect its population from the virus? China made sure it did not spread. Going by the lowest number of deaths for the largest populated country China’s performance is superb. If so, why China was not careful to take steps to make sure it did not spread globally?
So far, nobody is challenging the following facts.
The Covid19 virus originated in China in 2019.
It originated in Wuhan, China.
How it originated in China? Did it originate from a seafood market? Or,did it originate from a lab in Wuhan?
DISCOVERY BY TWO INDIAN SCIENTISTS IN PUNE, MAHARASHTRA
It has been reported that an Indian scientist couple is working with netizens globally and has discovered some compelling evidence to support the hypothesis that the SARS-CoV-2 virus (Covid19) originated from a lab in Wuhan rather than a seafood market as China has widely informed.
The Pune-based scientist couple, Dr. Rahul Bahulikar and Dr. Monali Rahalkar, said their theory that was initially dismissed as a conspiracy has again grabbed global attention after President Joe Biden ordered a probe into it.
Discussing their research, Rahalkar said they do not know exactly if the virus had leaked but it is a strong hypothesis as their research points towards possible lab leak.
“We started our research in April 2020. We found that a relative of SARS-CoV-2, RATG13, a coronavirus, was collected from a mineshaft in Mojiang of Yunnan province in South China by the Wuhan Institute of Virology. We also found out that the mineshaft was infested with bats and six miners hired to clean the fecal matter were infected with pneumonia-like illness,” said Rahalkar.
“Wuhan Institute of Virology and other labs in Wuhan are experimenting on the virus, and there is a suspicion that they did some changes in the genome of the virus, and it may be possible that the current virus was invented in the process,” she added.
Bahulikar informed that after they published their first pre-print, they were contacted by Twitter user SEEKER, who is part of a group called DRASTIC, who is working on a common goal to discover evidence to support the hypothesis of the lab leak theory.
“SEEKER specialize in finding hidden research material. He shared a thesis in the Chinese language that described in detail the severe illness in miners. Their symptoms were very similar to that of COVID-19 infection. Their CT scans were also compared with the COVID patients, and it was discovered that they were almost similar,” said Bahulikar.
Following Bahulikar’s statement, Rahalkar said the theory about COVID-19 spread from the Yunnan mineshaft does not stand because there are no cases in Yunnan.
“Other theory that virus was transmitted to someone from a bat and later spread through a market also does not have any proof. Also, the structure of the virus is such that it was ready to infect humans, and that indicates that it might have come from a lab,” she said.
The scientists also alleged that W.H.O. has not done enough research to probe the possible lab leak theory.
SCIENTISTS ARE FRUSTRATED AND DEMANDING INVESTIGATION
“We are demanding a proper probe into the theory. We have written three letters to W.H.O., that were published in international publications. W.H.O. has done very limited research on the theory that the virus may have leaked from a lab. Now, U.S. President is also saying that the matter should be investigated within 90 days, and India has also supported the notion,” Rahalkar added.
President Trump had speculated very early in 2020 that he suspected that the virus was manufactured or originated in Wuhan Institute of Virology. He had applied pressure on W.H.O. to investigate. But, when the WHO resisted investigation and was trying to support China politically, President Trump was more suspicious. This resulted in the USA withdrawing from the W.H.O. President Biden has rejoined it.
It is a matter of commonsense that though the virus originated in Wuhan, it did not spread much in China. Instead, the virus spread across the world like fire. China should have on its own forbidden anyone from Wuhan to travel abroad. Apparently, China was able to contain the virus in Wuhan within China.
VEHEMENT SUPPORT OF ATTORNEY RAVI BATRA’S PROPOSAL TO PRESIDENT OF THE USA: TRUMP AND BIDEN
Iwish to applaud the foresight and initiative of Ravi Batra, a highly reputed and experienced attorney specializing in Personal Injury. It did not take much time for Ravi Batra to suspect China based on the facts and developments. He himself was a victim of Covid-19, thank God he survived. The effect of Covid-19 is several times of World War II. More people have died on account of Covid-19 in the world than all the wars put together, according to one source.
The W.H.O. has the resources and the mandate to investigate thoroughly. It is a mystery why the W.H.O. has not made any progress? China had increased its contribution to W.H.O. President Trump thought that W.H.O. chief was obeying China’s secret requests.
Many scientists in the USA, UK, Western Europe, India and other parts of the world have been unanimous in speculating that the Covid-19 virus originated in Wuhan lab. Let us hope that President Biden is able to discover the findings of his investigation within 90 days as he stipulated. Once there is a conclusion that the virus was created in a lab in Wuhan, we should prepare an estimate of all damages inflicted on the humanity of the world and the world economy, analyzing country by country. If so, China must be fully held responsible, and it must pay reparations.
(Ven Parameswaran, Chairman, Asian American Republican Committee (founded 1988) and Senior Adviser, Imagindia Institute, a think tank in New Delhi, lives in Scarsdale, NY. He can be reached at vpwaren@gmail.com)
TRAFALGAR GROUP POLL WAS THE ONLY POLL THAT PREDICTED TRUMP WOULD WIN IN 2016.
IT IS THE ONLY MOST RELIABLE POLL PREDICTING 2020 ELECTION
“Arizona and Minnesota are in the sights of both parties. Florida probably is the most important state this year, and both candidates have hit it in recent days. But in a close race, flipping just one state from Democratic blue to Republican red, or vice versa, could be decisive. Travel by the presidential and vice-presidential candidates to Arizona and Minnesota shows those are the states that fall most directly into that category. The Biden campaign thinks it could turn Arizona blue for the first time since 1996, and the Trump campaign is aiming to flip Minnesota red for the first time since 1972.”
It has been impossible to predict Donald J. Trump. The major TV networks – CBS, ABC, NBC, CNN, FOX and print media – NYTimes, WSJ, and Washington Post failed to predict 2016 election. Because Trump has shocked the political scientists and the elites by keep on winning against all the odds. Trump, who had never run for any elective office announced in 2015 that he was going to run for the President of the USA. From that time on, the Democrats supported by the mainstream media and the polls sponsored by them have been attacking Trump ignoring the voters. Trump is running on his performance. Biden has made Trump the issue.
TRUMP BURIES CLINTON AND BUSH DYNASTIES
Trump defeated nine two term veteran Republican governors of New York, New Jersey, Virginia, Florida, Texas, Wisconsin, Ohio, Arkansas and Louisiana in the primaries. He also defeated five Republican senators from Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Texas. After that, he had to fight to win the nomination. Finally, he defeated the most educated and popular Hillary Clinton heavily supported by the mainstream media. This was a long political process but he buried Clinton and Bush dynasties.
Michael Moore said before 2016 election: “And if you believe Hillary Clinton is going to beat Trump with facts and smarts and logic, then you obviously missed the past year of 56 primaries and caucuses where 16 Republican candidates tried that and every kitchen sink they could throw at Trump and nothing could stop his juggernaut.
TRAFFALGAR GROUP POLL – MOST RELIABLE POLL
Robert Cahaly, senior strategist for the Trafalgar Group, made a name for himself in 2016 by being the only pollster to correctly show Donald Trump with a lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania – two key states he carried – heading into Election Day. (He did not poll Wisconsin, another surprising win for Trump.) Cahaly also showed Trump ahead in North Carolina and Florida, both of which he won, securing his improbable 304-227 Electoral College victory over Hillary Clinton.
Cahaly managed to pick up support for Trump that all other pollsters missed in employing a unique method that sought to measure support from voters who had been “inactive” in recent election cycles, as well as adding a question to his surveys designed to isolate the effect of social desirability bias among Trump voters—the concept that people won’t tell pollsters their true intentions for fear of being stigmatized or being politically incorrect.
After asking voters who they were supporting in 2016, the pollster followed up by asking them who they thought their neighbors were supporting, Trump or Clinton. Cahaly consistently found a high degree of variance between who respondents said they were voting for and who they thought their neighbors were voting for, suggesting there was in fact a “shy Trump effect” at play.
Two years later, Cahaly’s method once again proved solid. In one of the most polled races of the cycle, Trafalgar stood alone as the only polling firm to correctly show a Ron DeSantis gubernatorial victory in Florida – as well as Rick Scott winning the Senate race there. (Both narrow outcomes will likely result in recounts.)
Trafalgar also correctly predicted Senate outcomes in Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Texas and West Virginia, making it the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.
In the Georgia governor race, Cahaly’s results showed a big win for Republican Brian Kemp over Democrat Stacy Abrams. The final result, however, was a much closer Kemp victory. Cahaly gave credit to the Abrams campaign. They did a great job of registering voters late and bringing lots of new people in the process.
The same was true in Texas, Cahaly said, where Beto O’Rourke finished just 2.6 per centage points behind Ted Cruz.
Still, the pollster believes his method and methodology will be more valuable than ever as low voter response rates and social desirability bias continue to present challenges to all pollsters in the future.
According to the latest Trafalgar polls, Trump is already slightly ahead or tied Biden in all battleground States. It is important to note that the polls have started tightening. Between now and the election, the Undecides approximately 10% will influence. I have noticed the mainstream media and Realclear Politics Average have been ignoring Trafalgar Group polls because they seem to tell the truth favoring Trump.
In this era of a deeply and evenly divided electorate, presidential campaigns tend to be won in the margins, not in landslides. And in recent days, each presidential campaign has shown where it hopes to get a bit of a marginal advantage.
In the last seven presidential elections, the winner’s share of the popular vote nationally has been 46%, 51%, 53%, 51%, 48%, 49% and 43%. Although Biden appears to hold a comfortable lead over Trump in national polls at the moment, recent history says there is ample reason to think the race will tighten in the remaining six weeks, and ultimately be decided by the outcome in a few closely divided swing states.
The Trump campaign senses an opening with Hispanics. Biden will almost certainly win the Hispanic vote overall, but Republicans think Trump can cut into that advantage. Last week Trump was in Arizona for a roundtable with Hispanic voters.
Biden is playing for some of the blue-collar vote Hillary Clinton lost four years ago. So Biden held a town hall with voters in Scranton, PA, and declared there that this is “a campaign between Scranton and Park Avenue.”
The Biden campaign is worried about the level of Black enthusiasm. Biden will win the Black vote by a wide margin, but lackluster turnout in some places cost Clinton the election. Now, the Trump campaign is making a play specifically for more votes among Black men. In response, Kamala Harris has campaigned in recent days in minority communities in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida.
ARIZONA and MINNESOTA
Arizona and Minnesota are in the sights of both parties. Florida probably is the most important state this year, and both candidates have hit it in recent days. But in a close race, flipping just one state from Democratic blue to Republican red, or vice versa, could be decisive. Travel by the presidential and vice-presidential candidates to Arizona and Minnesota shows those are the states that fall most directly into that category. The Biden campaign thinks it could turn Arizona blue for the first time since 1996, and the Trump campaign is aiming to flip Minnesota red for the first time since 1972.
FOLLOWING STATISTICS SHOW HOW RAZOR THIN WAS TRUMP’S WIN IN 2016
CLINTON TRUMP
Arizona 45.13 46.67
Florida 47.82 49.02
Maine 2 40.98 51.26
Maine 1 47.27 47.50
Minnesota 46.44 44.92
North Carolina 46.17 49.83
Ohio 43.56 51.69
Pennsylvania 47.46 48.18
Wisconsin 46.45 47.22
New Hampshire 46.98 46.61
Nevada 47.50 45.98
COLOR
White 39 54 Total 74%
Black 91 6 10%
Latinos 66 28 10%
FINAL 2016 VOTE: 48.2 46.1
Clinton led by 2.01 points nationally
After having botched the entire news coverage of the 2016 election, where all the ‘experts’ repeatedly told the American public that Trump had little to no chance of being the Republican nominee and even less a chance of being elected President, corporate media is back at it again, insisting all is well with the Biden campaign and the Democrats are safely on cruise control to take the White House and the Senate.
This race is effectively tied today, Trump has momentum and enthusiasm, and Biden is going to have to campaign hard, energize his voters, and earn it if he hopes to unseat the incumbent.
(Ven Parameswaran, Chairman, Asian American Republican Committee (founded 1988) lives in Scarsdale, NY. He can be reached at vpwaren@gmail.com)
This past week, states like New York and New Jersey finally decided to accept Trump’s offer of $400 per week in Federal subsidy for every unemployed in their states. They realized, based on the pressure from their residents, that taking $300 or $400 additional was better not only for the unemployed, it was also good for their states’ economies.
When COVID-19 Federal Assistance of $600 per week for unemployed Americans seemed to be in peril because of the Democrat, House Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senator Chuck Schumer, and Republican, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows were not coming to a compromise, Trump made his move. On August 8, 2020, he signed four orders to help the working-class families in financial peril.
One of the four orders will allow an assistance of $400 per week for every American on unemployment. The amount of $300 of this will come from the new Federal allocation and $100 from the respective states, drawing on the COVID-19 money already assigned to them.
If the states move fast, Americans will see money in their unemployment benefits soon. While this amount is reduced from the untenable $600 per week, compare it to what the Obama Administration paid during the Great Recession of 2009. It was only $25 per week in Federal assistance to the unemployed; $400 per week by that measure is a very substantial amount.
Another order from Trump is designed to help those who are employed. This gives those making up to $104,000 a year a payroll deduction holiday (Social Security reduction) until December 31, 2020. This will amount to approximately 7% increase in take-home pay for the eligible Americans. The deferred amount will be pardoned by Trump during his second term.
Trump has also signed an executive order that will protect renters from being evicted for the lack of paying rent because the moratorium on evictions that was given during the CARES Act (Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act) had expired on July 24, 2020. This executive order will protect tenants until December 31, 2020.
The fourth executive order signed by Trump is aimed to help those holding student loans. This order will allow them to defer payments and waive interests on all student loans held by the Department of Education until December 31, 2020.
(The author is Professor of Management, Stillman School of Business, Seton Hall University, South Orange, NJ 07079, USA. He can be reached at Ad.amar@shu.edu)
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